Heat at Warriors odds, picks and predictions
Jan. 19, 2026, 1:51 p.m. ET
The Miami Heat (22-20) face the Golden State Warriors (24-19) Monday. Tip-off from Chase Center in San Francisco, California, is set for 10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Heat vs. Warriors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Heat lead 1-0 after a 110-96 home win Nov. 19, covering as 10.5-point favorites as the Under (234.5) cashed.
The Heat have won 2 of 3 after upsetting the defending-champion Oklahoma City Thunder 122-120 on Saturday. Miami was a 10.5-point home dog in that one. C Bam Adebayo had 30 points and 12 boards as the Over (235.5) hit. That total is more impressive when considering F Tyler Herro (toe, rib) remains out.
The Dubs have won 3 straight after a 136-116 thrashing of the Charlotte Hornets on Saturday. They were 7.5-point home favorites and the Over (237.5) hit. G De’Anthony Melton had 24 points off the bench. G Stephen Curry had just 14 points in 30 minutes. F Jimmy Butler III was out due to personal reasons.
Heat at Warriors odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 1:43 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Warriors -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat +5.5 (-110) | Warriors -5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 239.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Heat at Warriors key injuries
Heat
- F Tyler Herro (rib) out
- F Jaime Jaquez Jr. (knee) probable
- G Davion Mitchell (shoulder) probable
Warriors
- G Seth Curry (back) out
- F Draymond Green (ankle) probable
- G De’Anthony Melton (knee) out
- F Gui Santos (ankle) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Heat at Warriors picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 119, Heat 115
There’s no play here. The Warriors are a middling team but are good at home at 16-6. Instead, I’ll take JIMMY BUTLER III OVER 34.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS+ASSISTS (-105) against his former team. He had 32 points, 8 boards and 4 assists in his last showing Thursday.
With this spread, I’ll go with HEAT +5.5 (-110). They’re 6-4 ATS in the last 10 overall and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 against Golden State.
The Under has cashed in 6 straight matchups between these teams, including the Under 234.5 cashing in November. What’s more, the Warriors have given up 116 points or fewer in 7 out of their last 8 games.
Go UNDER 239.5 (-110).
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow @rdodsonsports on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
Access more NBA coverage:
HoopsHype | Celtics Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | LeBron Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire
Our team of savvy editors independently handpicks all recommendations. If you purchase through our links, the USA Today Network may earn a commission. Prices were accurate at the time of publication but may change.
Gambling involves risk. Please only gamble with funds that you can comfortably afford to lose. While we do our utmost to offer good advice and information we cannot be held responsible for any loss that may be incurred as a result of gambling. We do our best to make sure all the information that we provide on this site is correct. However, from time to time mistakes will be made and we will not be held liable. Please check any stats or information if you are unsure how accurate they are. No guarantees are made with regards to results or financial gain. All forms of betting carry financial risk and it is up to the individual to make bets with or without the assistance of information provided on this site and we cannot be held responsible for any loss that may be incurred as a result of following the betting tips provided on this site. Past performances do not guarantee success in the future and betting odds fluctuate from one minute to the next. The material contained on this site is intended to inform, entertain and educate the reader and in no way represents an inducement to gamble legally or illegally or any sort of professional advice.
Gannett may earn revenue from sports betting operators for audience referrals to betting services. Sports betting operators have no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. Terms apply, see operator site for Terms and Conditions. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Call the National Council on Problem Gambling 24/7 at 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, OH), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). Must be 21 or older to gamble. Sports betting and gambling are not legal in all locations. Be sure to comply with laws applicable where you reside. It is your sole responsibility to act in accordance with your local laws.
Publicar comentário