Mavericks at Kings odds, picks and predictions
Dec. 27, 2025, 9:46 a.m. ET
The Dallas Mavericks (12-20) and Sacramento Kings (7-23) meet Saturday. Tip-off from Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California, is set for 5 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Mavericks vs. Kings odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
2024-25 season series: Kings swept 3-0
The Mavericks lost 126-116 to the Golden State Warriors on Christmas Day, covering as a 10.5-point road underdog with the Over (228.5) cashing. F Cooper Flagg led the way with 27 points on 13-for-21 shooting. Dallas has gone 6-5 straight up (SU) and 7-4 against the spread in December. It is 16-16 ATS on the season.
The Kings lost 136-127 to the Detroit Pistons Tuesday, covering as a 10-point home underdog with the Over (227.5) hitting. G DeMar DeRozan scored a game-high 37 points on 12-for-18 shooting. Sacramento has struggled over the last few weeks, going 1-6 SU and 4-3 ATS in its previous 7 games. It is 12-17-1 ATS on the season.
Mavericks at Kings odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:46 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mavericks -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Kings +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks -3.5 (-102) | Kings +3.5 (-118)
- Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Mavericks at Kings key injuries
Mavericks
- F Anthony Davis (adductor) questionable
- G Dante Exum (knee) out for season
- G Kyrie Irving (knee) out
- C Dereck Lively II (foot) out
- G Brandon Williams (calf) doubtful
Kings
- G Zach LaVine (ankle) out
- F Keegan Murray (calf) out
- F Domantas Sabonis (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Mavericks at Kings picks and predictions
Prediction
Mavericks 122, Kings 117
PASS.
While the Mavericks (-150) are worthy of consideration, they are a bit too pricey relative to the size of the spread to consider on the moneyline.
BET MAVERICKS -3.5 (-102).
Dallas has been surging. It is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games. Flagg is playing at an ultra-high level for a rookie, and his consistency (shooting 49.3% from the field) should bode well for the Mavericks’ long-term success.
The Kings have been awful as of late, especially on the defensive end. They are 5-7 ATS over their last 12 performances and have given up at least 121 points in half of those. Sacramento has scored 105 or fewer in 5 of its last 8 games.
Take MAVERICKS -3.5 (-102).
BET OVER 232 (-110).
Both teams are slightly trending towards the Over, mainly due by their poor defense. The Kings are 4-2 O/U in their past 6 games, allowing at least 117 points in 5 of those contests.
The Mavericks are 7-2 O/U in their last 9 games, scoring at least 111 points in every game since Nov. 24. Dallas has given up at least 119 points in 4 straight games, too.
Back OVER 232 (-110).
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